Full list of Week 17 straight-up picks with confidence levels

We make picks for all 16 NFL games with levels of confidence ahead of Week 17.

The holiday season has arrived and that means a busy week for the NFL. Wee 17 kicks off with a Christmas doubleheader on Netflix. It follows with a Friday game on Amazon Prime, a tripleheader on Saturday, nine games on Sunday, and Monday Night Football to wrap things up. Five days of football!

The playoff race is heating up as we come down the home stretch. The field is growing, with the Ravens and Packers securing a playoff berth last week. The Falcons moved back into first place in the NFC South and the Ravens have climbed into a tie with the Steelers in the AFC North.

Last week did not see too many upsets, which means my choice of five upsets were not great with my Week 16 confidence picks. I went 10-6, with a 5-4 mark on my medium picks and 2-2 for my low picks. I was 1-4 on my five upset picks.

We’re back now for my weekly confidence picks. Below is my full list of picks for Week 17. A game with three asterisks (***) after it indicates a game where I’m picking the betting underdog to get the win. This week, I’ve got four upset picks on the books. I may make some adjustments as injury reports come along given how early in the week these are going live. I’ll make a note of changes if they happen.

High confidence (38-13)

Eagles over Cowboys
Colts over Giants
Bills over Jets

Medium confidence (85-28)

Ravens over Texans
Seahawks over Bears
Chargers over Patriots
Bucs over Panthers
Dolphins over Browns
Commanders over Falcons
Lions over 49ers

Low confidence (39-38)

Steelers over Chiefs***
Bengals over Broncos
Cardinals over Rams***
Saints over Raiders***
Jaguars over Titans
Packers over Vikings***