Full list of Week 5 straight-up picks with confidence levels

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We make picks for all 14 NFL games with levels of confidence ahead of Week 5.

The bye weeks are upon us! Week 5 of the 2024 NFL season has arrived and with it, the Lions, Titans, Eagles, and Chargers all get the weekend off. We also get Jets-Vikings in London at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday morning. That means Sunday football gets going bright and early at 9:30 a.m. ET. Good luck to those of you enjoying west coast college football the night before. Especially if you live on the west coast!

I had a nice bounce-back week in Week 4, finishing 11-5 overall with my confidence picks. I was 4-1 with high confidence picks, 3-2 with medium confidence picks, and 4-2 with low confidence picks. Notably, that moves me to at least .500 in all three categories. We’ll see if I can build on it in Week 5.

Here’s my full list of picks for Week 5. A game with three asterisks (***) after it indicates a game where I’m picking the betting underdog to get the win. I’ve got five underdogs winning outright this week, but we’ll also see how the lines move. It’s possible one or more of these underdogs are favorites by kickoff.

High confidence (7-7)

Commanders over Browns
49ers over Cardinals
Seahawks over Giants

Medium confidence (20-9)

Vikings over Jets
Ravens over Bengals
Packers over Rams
Cowboys over Steelers***
Chiefs over Saints

Low confidence (11-10)

Bucs over Falcons***
Bears over Panthers
Dolphins over Patriots***
Texans over Bills***
Jaguars over Colts
Raiders over Broncos***